Market Report - June 2023

Posted: Thursday July 6, 2023

SASKATCHEWAN REPORTS STRONG JUNE SALES AS INVENTORY CHALLENGES CONTINUE

There were 1,691 sales reported across the province in June, a year-over-year decline of six per cent. While year-over-year sales were down, Saskatchewan again reported sales levels well above long-term, 10-year historical averages.

As seen in prior months, inventory levels remain a significant challenge in certain regions of the province. Despite a slight increase from last month, inventory levels were nine per cent below levels seen in the previous year and over 30 per cent below the 10-year average. Inventory challenges continue to impact the more affordable segment of the market, with homes priced below $300,000 reporting a 17 per cent decline in inventory in June.

“While higher lending rates are impacting sales activity, continued employment growth and Saskatchewan’s relative affordability advantage are preventing a significant pullback in sales,” said Association CEO, Chris Guérette. “Our province continues to report strong sales despite persistent inventory challenges, specifically in the more affordable segment of our housing continuum.”

The slight monthly inventory increase did support a modest gain in the months of supply. However, with just under four months of supply, conditions remain lower than levels traditionally seen in June. Tighter conditions again resulted in month-over-month price gains, as Saskatchewan’s benchmark price reached $331,500 in June, up from $329,600 in May.

“Our market continues to demonstrate resilience amid interest rate hikes, ongoing inflationary pressures, and concerns over a national recession,” said Guérette. “We continue to keep a close eye on inventory levels and how tighter market conditions may impact prices moving forward.”

Regional Highlights
Sales activity has eased across many regions in the province throughout the first half of the year. However, the Swift Current- Moose Jaw Region was the only region to see activity fall below long-term trends.

While adjustments in inventory levels did vary across the province, all regions continue to report inventory below long-term, 10-year trends. Year-over-year inventory levels have improved in the Swift Current-Moose Jaw and Yorkton-Melville regions, while the Saskatoon-Biggar region is currently reporting the tightest conditions in the province

Price Trends
The benchmark price varied across Saskatchewan communities in June. As most cities report year-over-year and monthly price growth, the cities of Swift Current, North Battleford, and Yorkton experienced monthly and yearly price decreases. Additionally, the Humboldt region reported its highest benchmark price on record in June

City of Regina

The City of Regina reported 367 sales in June, a year-over-year decline of nearly 10 per cent. While year-over-year sales levels eased, they remain over 11 per cent above long-term, 10-year trends.

A pullback in sales and new listings resulted in inventory similar to levels reported last month. Inventory levels in Regina remain nearly 30 per cent below long-term trends, the lowest levels reported in June since 2014.

With only 2.8 months of supply in the Queen City, current conditions are the tightest they’ve been in June over the past decade. Tighter conditions are contributing to monthly price gains as the benchmark price in Regina reached $318,700 in June, up from $316,100 in May.

City of Saskatoon

The City of Saskatoon reported 541 sales in June, up nearly two per cent year-over-year and 17 per cent above long-term trends.

Despite a slight month-over-month improvement in new listings in June, inventory levels remain over 40 per cent below the 10-year average.

Tight market conditions persisted in June, with under two months of supply supporting further price growth in the Bridge City. The benchmark price reached $381,400 in June, up from $380,100 in May.